Thursday, October 22, 2015

Sokolski, the Iran Deal, and Hillary Clinton


The Iran Deal is a policy that has raised a lot of controversy among our politicians in the last view months. I agree with Sokolski in “Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran” that Iran should not have nuclear weapons. When it comes specifically to how this situation should be handled, my views directly parallel that of Hillary Clinton’s—support for the Iran Deal but with some more aggressive stipulations.
There’s a number of reasons Sokolski puts forward about why Iran should not be allowed to go nuclear. The first reason, and what I think is the scariest, is the domino effect that will ensue with other Middle Eastern states once Iran goes starts making nuclear weapons. Once Iran starts, a lot of the other states in that region will demand to have nuclear weapons. That in itself will cause instability in the region. Security issues for the United States also arise, because Sokolski points out that a more confident Iran could equal more terrorist groups and operations, or even worse there’s the great risk of the nuclear weapons falling into the hands of terrorists. Finally, there is also a risk to the world economy. Iran could use its nuclear capabilities to threaten or attack Saudi Arabian oil facilities and pipelines, and therefore dramatically increase the price of oil.  

Hillary has formally endorsed the Iran Deal and showed President Obama support for it, especially supporting his diplomacy. But with this support she has had a few stipulations which she voiced to the administration as Secretary of State. Originally, when she ran for president in 2008 her and then Senator Obama had conflicting ideas on how to handle Iran. At the time, she claimed that Obama’s diplomatic plan was far too optimistic and even naïve. So as she started to accept the Iran Deal, she still had some stipulations. I remember reading an article online on Politico a few weeks ago talking about how when she was Secretary of State, she pushed for consideration of a measure that would give Israel the approval to bomb Iran’s nuclear sites. I agree with her support with stipulations because I feel like it’s the happy medium needed. The Iran deal in my opinion seems like the only option right now because the United States, once again in my opinion, cannot afford another conflict or war. I feel that there are much more important other issues domestically going on that require attention and funding. But at the same time, the United States can’t pass policies that would hurt or put the country at risk. So I feel that diplomacy is necessary but with stipulations in place so that the U.S. isn’t put in a problematic position where conflict could be further escalated. 

6 comments:

  1. Victoria, you keep mentioning the that Clinton has "stipulations." However, you don't give examples of what any of these stipulations are. What are some examples? You say that in the past, Clinton wanted to give Israel approval to bomb Iran's nuclear sites. Give some current beliefs of hers that you agree with.

    Additionally, you mention that there are more important domestic issues right now. Like what? Why are these issues more important that international issues?

    Interesting argument, but elaborate a little more.

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    1. In a speech in September, Hillary made her official stance on the Iran Deal that she supports it even though it's not perfect and that the Iran Deal is important in supporting Israel. I agree with this. I think the U.S. alliance with Israel is extremely important and even though the Iran Deal is a little out of our comfort zone, it's important to have it and to continue our support of Israel.
      As for domestic issues, personally I believe that education and environmental protection are very important issues that are currently struggling and require attention. If more money from the federal government was invested in environmental protection it would not only help protect the environment but it would also created jobs and boost the American economy. I personally believe there are a number problems currently in our education system, from where public schools get their funding (supporting schools from the property tax is a horrible idea and leaves impoverished communities with a lesser chance of success) to student loan debt (fun fact: banks receive cheaper interest rates on their loans than students do-- this needs to change!).
      Though I feel that the U.S. can do amazing things internationally, there comes a point when a nation needs to recognize when certain components of their society are in decline, especially components that determine the future of the nation-- whether or not the coming of age generation is properly educated and the planet is livable.

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    2. I agree that there are many important domestic issues, including education and environmental protection. However I do not think that these issues should take precedence to the Iran issue. It is important to be able to balance and address a multitude of problems. Education and environmental issues are long term problems that entail careful and strategic approaches. The Iran issue, however, is a short term crisis that must be addressed immediately before it gets out of hand, which I think the Iran deal did. I think these are two different things, that both have a high level of importance. I agree with your point about the significance of domestic issues, but I don't think that they are more important then issues such as Iran.

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  2. Victoria, you make a good point. But with so much opposition to the Iran Deal, it would be great if you could expand your argument. I agree in that the Iran Deal is "the best we could get." I commented this earlier on Morten's blog post about Liberal views on the Iran deal and said: While the Iran deal is not going to create a "kinder" Iran per say, if we do not pursue this deal, within three months Iran could produce the materials needed to produce one bomb. So while it is not physically impossible for Iran to build a nuclear bomb, it is buying us time and peace at mind. By taking a look at the science behind this deal, it really is the best option. Both the US and Iran are countries that are seeking security and wealth.

    I also like how Clinton not only is a huge supporter of the Iran deal, but wants to crack down on Iranian human rights abuses and counteract Iranian influence on other Middle Eastern Countries. Iran obtaining nuclear power is an extremely scary thought and her view on the situation is definitely one I support.

    Do you think in the long term this could improve relations between the US and Iran due to the fact that we are trying to alleviate anarchy and increase security for both our countries? As well as other countries around the world?

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    1. I think this definitely could improve relations between the United States and Iran! If Iranian influence in the Middle East does not decrease than I think it's very important for Iran to at least be somewhat more stable. But I think it will definitely be something long term and gradual.

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  3. Interesting post about the Iran Deal. I had also covered the topic in my first post on this blog.
    I believe we all agree that Iran should not get a nuclear bomb, at least that is what I get from most of your comments.
    In addition to the foreign policy issues associated with the deal, I think it also worth looking at Iran's domestic moderate opposition such as the "Green Movement" that was to some extent responsible for the protests in 2009 and 2011 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Green_Movement). What really might push things forward in the long run would be a regime change in Iran. A more moderate government (and a new political system) seems to be the only way how Iran could ever actually contribute to stability and peace in the middle east.

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